Features

Dividend payout biggest decline since ’51

By John Cunnif The Associated Press
Tuesday January 09, 2001

NEW YORK — One of the less discussed peculiarities of the the financial marketplace in the year 2000 was the decline in dividends, those partial payouts of earnings that old-time investors relied upon. 

Standard & Poor’s announced that the payout rate for stocks in its S&P 500-stock index slipped to just 2.5 percent last year, the first decline since 1991 and the biggest decline since 1951. 

It says a lot about how much the marketplace has changed. 

You don’t hear nearly as much about dividends today as you do about prices, because these are times when many newer investors are in pursuit of quick money, and it takes long years of dividends to make you rich. 

In fact, those who do rely on dividends are likely already to be rich, rather than, as so many are today, merely striving to be rich. 

Investors today want quick capital appreciation, the new-fashioned way, whereas dividends at, say, 3.5 percent a year, double only after 20 years or so. That’s a long wait for someone with a one-month timeframe. 

Besides, the new market has even netted some of the rich old-timers, and you can’t blame them. Neither can you blame the companies who in the spirit of the times substitute stock buybacks for dividends. 

Finally, as if companies and investors were seeking to rationalize the situation, it is frequently pointed out that dividends are taxed as ordinary income, while the levy on capital gains is at a lower rate. 

The result: The number of dividend increases reported to Standard & Poor’s in 2000 totaled 1,496, a 12 percent decline from the 1,701 reported in 1999. It was the fewest number of increases since 1992. 

But now the tone of the market has changed. It may take a while for companies to adjust their strategies, but in a slower growing market it can be assumed that dividends are likely to regain some lost popularity. Still another factor will be at work: also getting older will be those companies that forgo dividends today in the race to grow larger. And as they slow down, they might need the lure of dividends to attract investors. 

John Cunnif is a business analyst for The Associated Press.